{"id":11966,"date":"2024-09-06T12:44:23","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T09:44:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/?p=11966"},"modified":"2024-09-06T12:44:23","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T09:44:23","slug":"2025-2027-orta-vadeli-program-ovp-hakkinda-disk-ar-degerlendirmesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/?p=11966","title":{"rendered":"2025-2027 Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) hakk\u0131nda D\u0130SK-AR de\u011ferlendirmesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">2025-2027 ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM:<br \/>\nD\u00dc\u015e\u00dcK \u00dcCRET ZAMLARI, G\u00dcVENCES\u0130ZL\u0130K VE SOSYAL G\u00dcVENL\u0130\u011eE DAHA AZ KAYNAK HEDEFLEN\u0130YOR!<\/h2>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2025-2027 Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) 5 Eyl\u00fcl 2023 tarihli ve m\u00fckerrer Resm\u00ee Gazete\u2019de yay\u0131mland\u0131. 2025-2027 d\u00f6nemi temel hedeflerini ortaya koymak amac\u0131yla haz\u0131rlanan OVP, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin makroekonomik g\u00f6stergelerdeki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha ortaya koydu. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f OVP\u2019lerdeki enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedeflerine ula\u015famayan h\u00fck\u00fcmet, 2025-2027 d\u00f6nemi OVP ile inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olmayan yeni makroekonomik hedefler ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sendikalar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc al\u0131nmadan ve eme\u011fin talepleri g\u00f6zard\u0131 edilerek haz\u0131rlanan OVP\u2019nin sunumu s\u0131ras\u0131nda Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131lda a\u00e7\u0131klanan OVP\u2019nin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131na ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fczl\u00fcklerine de\u011finmedi. Eski OVP hedeflerine ula\u015f\u0131lmamas\u0131 nedeniyle kamuoyundan \u00f6z\u00fcr dilenmedi. OVP\u2019de g\u00fcncellenen enflasyon ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefleri H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar\u0131n enflasyonla m\u00fccadelede ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmede ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2024-2026 Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da y\u00fczde 33 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 enflasyonu yeni OVP\u2019de 2024 y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 41,5 olarak revize edildi. Bilindi\u011fi gibi 2021 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen y\u0131l sonu resmi enflasyonu, H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in hedefledi\u011fi enflasyondan \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek seyrediyor. 2025-2027 Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da yer alan enflasyon hedeflerinin de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fi s\u0131r de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00d6te yandan bir \u00f6nceki OVP\u2019deki yer alan b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131 da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde revize edildi. 2024, 2025 ve 2026 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131 tahmininde 0,5 puanl\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefi y\u00fczde 4\u2019ten y\u00fczde 3,5\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. Yeni OVP enflasyon ve durgunlu\u011fun ayn\u0131 anda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OVP makroekonomik hedeflerinin yine tutturulamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz. Bu nedenle \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok fazla durmaya de\u011fmez. Ancak OVP\u2019de \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma hayat\u0131 ile ilgili yer alan hedeflerin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlar\u0131 daha da katmerli hale getirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2025-2027 Orta Vadeli Program\u2019da \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma hayat\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00fc\u00e7 konu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Esnek ve g\u00fcvencesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, sosyal g\u00fcvenli\u011fe olan kamu katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ve hedef enflasyona g\u00f6re \u00fccret zamlar\u0131. Bu \u00fc\u00e7 husus da i\u015f\u00e7iler ve emek\u00e7iler i\u00e7in ciddi tehlikeler i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n<h3>1- \u0130nsan onuruna yak\u0131\u015f\u0131r i\u015fler yerine esnek ve g\u00fcvencesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 hedefleniyor<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2025-2027 d\u00f6neminde H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in eme\u011fe y\u00f6nelik uygulayaca\u011f\u0131 politikalara ili\u015fkin hedeflerin yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 OVP\u2019de, esnekli\u011fin ve g\u00fcvencesizli\u011fin \u201cYeni nesil \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma bi\u00e7imleri\u201d ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n hedeflendi\u011fi <em>\u201cBu d\u00f6nemde, aktif i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc politikalar\u0131 daha esnek istihdam modelleri ile desteklenerek k\u0131sa vadede ekonominin ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik insan sermayesinin temini sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r\u201d <\/em>ifadeleri ile belirtiliyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde g\u00fcndeme getirilen belirli s\u00fcreli i\u015f s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinin yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n bunun \u00f6n habercisi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2025 1. \u00e7eyrekte uzaktan, k\u0131smi ve ge\u00e7ici s\u00fcreli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ile platform \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 gibi g\u00fcvencesiz ve esnek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma bi\u00e7imlerde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya y\u00f6nelik \u201ci\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131\u201d g\u00f6zetilerek kanun de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Halihaz\u0131rda esnek ve g\u00fcvencesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma bi\u00e7imlerine maruz b\u0131rak\u0131lanlar daha fazla g\u00fcvencesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak. OVP\u2019de \u201cg\u00fcvenceli esneklik\u201d gibi ucube bir kavramada yer veriliyor. Bu kavram esnek ve g\u00fcvencesiz \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131rmak ve sevimli g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Oysa do\u011fru kavram Uluslararas\u0131 \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (ILO) taraf\u0131ndan kabul edilen \u201cinsan onuruna yara\u015f\u0131r i\u015f\u201d kavram\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<h3>2- \u00dccretler ve emek gelirleri iyice bast\u0131r\u0131lacak, hedef enflasyona g\u00f6re \u00fccret zamm\u0131 g\u00fcndemde<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2024\u2019\u00fcn ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u00e7l\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen asgari \u00fccrete herhangi bir art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyen H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in \u00fccret politikas\u0131, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131 yoksullu\u011fa mahk\u00fbm etmeye devam ediyor. \u201cS\u0131k\u0131\u201d para ve maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu olarak emek gelirleri bast\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. 2025-2027 d\u00f6nemi OVP\u2019de H\u00fck\u00fcmet bu politikalar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrece\u011fini beyan ediyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OVP\u2019de <em>\u201c\u00dccret fiyat sarmal\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesine y\u00f6nelik asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n dezenflasyon s\u00fcreciyle uyumu g\u00f6zetilmeye devam edilecektir\u201d<\/em> ifadeleri ile \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 enflasyona sebep g\u00f6sterilmeye devam ediyor. Oysa ekonomide bir \u00fccret-fiyat sarmal\u0131 de\u011fil, tersine bir fiyat-\u00fccret sarmal\u0131 s\u00f6z konudur. AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmeti enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin yolu olarak \u00fccret ve di\u011fer emek gelirlerini bast\u0131rmay\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ancak enflasyona sebep \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 de\u011fil, dolarizasyon ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 \u015firket karlar\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumak i\u00e7in \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 zorunludur.<\/p>\n<h3>3- Sosyal g\u00fcvenlikte kamu katk\u0131s\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131lacak, emeklilikte adaletsizlik devam edecek<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">OVP\u2019de yer alan \u201cSosyal g\u00fcvenli\u011fe b\u00fct\u00e7e katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131\u201d emekliler yarar\u0131na d\u00fczenlemelerin g\u00fcndeme gelmeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. OVP\u2019de tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 emeklilik sisteminin (TES) 2025 4. \u00e7eyrekte hayata ge\u00e7mesi hedefleniyor. TES, k\u0131dem tazminat\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00d6te yandan <em>\u201cSosyal g\u00fcvenlik sisteminde ki\u015filerin daha \u00e7ok istihdamda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik eden, hakkaniyeti ve akt\u00fceryal dengeyi \u00f6nceleyen d\u00fczenlemeler\u201d<\/em> ifadeleri ile kademeli emeklilik ve emeklilikte adalet beklentilerinin \u00f6n\u00fcne set \u00e7ekiliyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Son y\u0131llarda b\u00fct\u00e7eden sosyal g\u00fcvenli\u011fe ve emeklilere ayr\u0131lan pay azalt\u0131l\u0131yor. Yeni OVP\u2019de hedeflenen sosyal g\u00fcvenlik sistemine ve emekliliklere ayr\u0131lacak pay\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7eden azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 emekli ayl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n iyice dibe vurmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. \u00a0Kademeli emeklilik, emekli ayl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015ftirilmesi gibi konular OVP\u2019nin g\u00fcndeminde de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<h3>Gelirde ve vergide adalet sa\u011flanmal\u0131!<\/h3>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">5 Eyl\u00fcl 2024\u2019te bir bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 ile Orta Vadeli Program\u2019\u0131 kamuoyuyla payla\u015fan CB yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Cevdet Y\u0131lmaz, gelirin t\u00fcm kesimlere adil bir \u015fekilde da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ve vergide adaletin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n hedeflendi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ancak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n, emek\u00e7ilerin \u00fczerindeki vergi y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden, sendikalar\u0131n gelir ve vergi adaleti i\u00e7in hemfikir olduklar\u0131 taleplerden s\u00f6z etmedi. Bu talepler OVP\u2019de yer almad\u0131. Bu OVP ile adil bir vergi sisteminin kurulmas\u0131 ve gelirde adalet sa\u011flanmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Oysa gelirde ve vergide adaletin sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n yolu, toplu i\u015f s\u00f6zle\u015fme kapsam\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015fletilerek bu \u00fclkenin bir asgari \u00fccretliler toplumu olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 ve az kazanandan az, \u00e7ok kazanandan \u00e7ok vergi al\u0131nan adil bir vergi sisteminin olu\u015fturulmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2025-2027 d\u00f6nemi OVP miad\u0131 dolmu\u015f neoliberal re\u00e7etenin bir tekrar\u0131ndan ibaret. Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in \u00fccretleri bask\u0131lamay\u0131 hedefleyen, kamu a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak ad\u0131na sosyal g\u00fcvenli\u011fe ayr\u0131lan kamu kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smak isteyen bir zihniyet OVP\u2019ye hakimdir. OVP \u201cyap\u0131sal reform\u201d olarak da \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma hayat\u0131n\u0131n daha da esnek ve g\u00fcvencesiz hale getirilmesini savunuyor.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00f6rsel karikat\u00fcr\u00fc: Sefer Selvi<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025-2027 ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM: D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcK \u00dcCRET ZAMLARI, G\u00dcVENCES\u0130ZL\u0130K VE SOSYAL G\u00dcVENL\u0130\u011eE DAHA AZ KAYNAK HEDEFLEN\u0130YOR! 2025-2027 Orta Vadeli Program (OVP) 5 Eyl\u00fcl 2023 tarihli ve&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":11967,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-c-s2-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,278],"tags":[521],"class_list":["post-11966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guncel","category-manset","tag-2025-2027-ovp","wpcat-6-id","wpcat-278-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11966","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11966"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11966\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11968,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11966\/revisions\/11968"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11966"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11966"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11966"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}