{"id":1748,"date":"2020-05-11T12:00:45","date_gmt":"2020-05-11T09:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/?p=1748"},"modified":"2024-04-19T11:42:07","modified_gmt":"2024-04-19T08:42:07","slug":"covid-19-salgini-7-8-milyon-yeni-issiz-yaratabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/?p=1748","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 Salg\u0131n\u0131 7-8 Milyon Yeni \u0130\u015fsiz Yaratabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130stihdam Krizden Bu Yana 2,5 Milyon Azald\u0131!<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Devrimci \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Sendikalar\u0131 Konfederasyonu Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi (D\u0130SK-AR) T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun (T\u00dc\u0130K) 11 May\u0131s 2020 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eubat 2020 d\u00f6nemi Hanehalk\u0131 \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 (H\u0130A) ile \u0130\u015eKUR taraf\u0131ndan 8 May\u0131s 2020\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verilerini de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

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\u0130\u015fsizlik ve \u0130stihdam\u0131n G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporuna ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in g\u00f6rsele t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
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T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan bug\u00fcn (11 May\u0131s 2020) a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler \u015eubat 2020 d\u00f6nemi (Ocak-\u015eubat-Mart) H\u0130A sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor.\u00a0 Bu verilerde Covid-19\u2019un yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik depremin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, i\u015fsizlikteki art\u0131\u015f ve istihdam kayb\u0131 hen\u00fcz yer alm\u0131yor. Covid-19\u2019un etkilerini haziran ve temmuz ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak T\u00dc\u0130K Hanehalk\u0131 \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olacak.<\/p>\n

Ancak a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dc\u0130K verileri bu haliyle bile vahim bir tabloya i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc ve istihdam\u0131n birlikte d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2019 \u015eubat ay\u0131na g\u00f6re i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc 1 milyon 102 bin azalarak 30 milyon 982 bine geriledi. \u0130stihdam ise son bir y\u0131lda 602 bin azald\u0131. \u0130stihdam son iki y\u0131lda ilk kez 27 milyonun alt\u0131na geriledi. Ekonomik krizin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 A\u011fustos 2018\u2019e g\u00f6re istihdam kayb\u0131 2 milyon 565 bin olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan i\u015f aramay\u0131p \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya haz\u0131r olanlar\u0131n ve \u00f6zellikle de \u00fcmidini kaybeden i\u015fsizlerin say\u0131s\u0131nda ciddi bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin \u00fcmidini kaybeden i\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re 486 bin artarak 1 milyon 107 bine y\u00fckseldi.\u00a0 Bu tablo i\u015fsizlerin i\u015f arama \u00fcmidini kaybettiklerini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fsiz say\u0131s\u0131 2020 \u015eubat d\u00f6neminde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 502 bin ki\u015fi azalarak 4 milyon 228 bin ki\u015fi olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fse de bu durum i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131nda bir iyile\u015fme anlam\u0131na gelmiyor. Aksine T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin istihdam yaratma kapasitesi g\u00fcnden g\u00fcne zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Bu verilerin Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ncesini yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclecek olursa \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ay \u00e7ok daha vahim bir tablonun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u015eubat 2020 verileri Covid-19 ile ilgili g\u00fcncel durumu yans\u0131tmasa da \u0130\u015eKUR taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan Nisan 2020 a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f ve i\u015fe yerle\u015ftirme istatistikleri Covid-19\u2019un yarataca\u011f\u0131 i\u015fsizlik dalgas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi niteli\u011finde. \u0130\u015eKUR verilerine g\u00f6re Nisan 2020\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015fler bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re 114 bin 888 azalarak 52 bin 418\u2019e geriledi. A\u00e7\u0131k i\u015flerde ya\u015fanan azalma y\u00fczde 68,7 oran\u0131nda. Bu durum Covid-19\u2019un yarataca\u011f\u0131 depremin \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi niteli\u011finde.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdiye kadar a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00e7e\u015fitli verileri dikkate alarak Covid-19 nedeniyle ya\u015fanacak i\u015f\/istihdam kayb\u0131n\u0131 tahmini olarak hesaplamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Tahminimiz Covid-19\u2019un ilk aylardaki etkisinin (Mart-Nisan-May\u0131s) 7 ile 8 milyon yeni istihdam ve i\u015f kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndedir. B\u00f6ylece Covid-19\u2019un ilk d\u00f6nemlerinde dar tan\u0131ml\u0131 i\u015f ve istihdam kayb\u0131n\u0131n 12 milyona, geni\u015f tan\u0131ml\u0131 i\u015fsizli\u011fin ise 15-16 milyon civar\u0131na ula\u015fabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

Bu tahminde k\u0131sa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, i\u015fsizlik ve \u00fccretsiz izin \u00f6deneklerine ba\u015fvuranlar ile istihdamda olup soka\u011fa \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 yasaklanan 65+ ile 15-17 ya\u015f \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar, kendi hesab\u0131na \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar ile kentsel kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdamdan i\u015fsiz kalanlar hesaba kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Verilerin bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc resm\u00ee a\u00e7\u0131klamaya dayal\u0131 iken bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc tahminidir.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130stihdam Krizden Bu Yana 2,5 Milyon Azald\u0131! T\u00fcrkiye Devrimci \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Sendikalar\u0131 Konfederasyonu Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi (D\u0130SK-AR) T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun (T\u00dc\u0130K) 11 May\u0131s 2020 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eubat…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1746,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-c-s2-post.php","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,11],"tags":[27,10,38,39],"class_list":["post-1748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guncel","category-issizlik","tag-covid-19","tag-issizlik","tag-istihdam","tag-tuik","wpcat-6-id","wpcat-11-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1748"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1748\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3800,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1748\/revisions\/3800"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arastirma.disk.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}